Sorry for the late reply, I was enjoying not thinking at all over the holidays.
The problem with the watch analogy
Both types of wares (software/hardware) are living things. We probably just think it’s durable because it’s on a different timescale. Our needs for a watch don’t change that much. A capacitor in your digital watch doesn’t age so quickly. but if we didn’t need time anymore, we’d still throw the watch away. Hell, even if it still worked to tell the time, we have another hidden need - to stay fashionable. We’d keep the watch in a drawer if it made us look bad.
Also, you didn’t use a car in your analogy because cars have so many more parts, and the durability is limited by the shortest lived component.
So they’re all the same. It’s just that for software, things change much more quickly.
Actually I mostly forgot what I was thinking at the time, but it went something like this:
Some needs are well understood and defined. Mostly because of physical limitations. As as a result, most physical objects are scalable in the sense that it will keep delivering value for free, so we don’t need to pay monthly subscriptions for upkeep, or stay relevant.
Other needs are not well understood and defined. Mental needs for example. We don’t really understand ourselves, nor the best way to do things, of which there are infinite things to do. It is hard enough to do as an individual, as a society it is… hopeless. Therefore once a software solution is produced, it will need to change and be maintained. In this sense it is not scalable like solutions for well-defined problems.
Or maybe, I’m just rationalizing the current situation because it is not commonly accepted to have ongoing charges for a physical purchase. What’s the difference between rationalization vs actually explaining the situation? Perhaps they are the same thing?
I have not, The Infinite Game sounds good (read the synopsis). I keep being reminded little self-directed life organisms coming together to make one larger, sentient thing (my post on this, the article that inspired me). Your talk of humanity moving forward sounds to me like a step on this path. Cells to humans, humans to a society that functions like an individual.
For this we need longer term memory, i.e. studying history. It has been very useful to read my older journal entries and engage in a longer-term loop then, when normally I’d have forgotten it all already in favour of things that happened recently. Just like markets - you can stay on the hourly candles or move up to the daily or weekly timeframes.
Yup, I’m back to overthinking again. I am generally uneasy about thinking at this level because there is not much I can do with any insights I make at this level. It all requires inspiring a large amount of people to be a certain way…